Enjoy the Spring Bank Holiday today. I hope you have a lot of fun all of you.

If you have two pair already the best case scenario for your chances to have Full House is 6/39 or 15.3%.

If you need one card to have Flush the best case scenario provided that two cards are already dealt in the common cards and two cards are in your hands, and given that only 13 cards can help (4 are already dealt so 9 remain) then your chances are 9/39 or 23%.

So the best case scenario is that your chances to have straight are 8/39 or 20.5%. If 6 cards remain your chances are 6/39 or 15.3% e.t.c. If you need 4 cards instead of 8 the best case scenario is 4/39 or 10.2%.

You don’t know your opponents’ cards. Some of them may already have one 4 or one 9 or more, no matter if they play or if they have already folded. The best case scenario says that no player has any 4 or 9. This means that 4 cards valued at 4 and 4 cards valued at 9 remain in the 39 cards’ deck. So it seems that 8 cards out of 39 may give you straight.

In order to calculate your chances you don’t need to be an expert. Consider the following example:

You have 5♥ 8♠ and the Flop is 6♥ 7♦ Q♦.

Let’s assume that you play with 4 players, or 5 including yourself. This means that 10 cards have been already dealt (=2 cards X 5 players). The flop is consisted by 3 cards. This means that out of 52 cards 39 cards remain (= 52 total cards – 10 cards dealt -3 flop cards). From the remaining 39 cards you need a 4 or a 9 in order to have straight.

After River if your hand hasn’t improved and the Aggressive continues the same tactic against the Tight player and the Tight player calls or bets all in, it is more likely that you have lost. If you have won then you should celebrate but only until the deck is shuffled and the cards are dealt again.

If you do and the Turn doesn’t improve your hand and you see the aggressive and the tight player betting and calling then you could have been beaten. Whether or not you call these bets is entirely up to you. You may have the best hand, however you have to think what hand your opponents must have bearing in mind their history.

However you now know that. After flop if you have a pair of Aces you can either raise to make some of your opponents fold, or check if you fear that one opponent has a pair of Aces with better kicker, two pair or three of a kind. If the tight player bets, or calls the aggressive player’s bets it is dangerous for you to continue.

You can then try to make the most dangerous players to fold, e.g. if you have A Q raise so much that any player should bet 20% or 30% of their money. If the tight and the cunning player fold it’s a good start. If the inexperienced player remains that is not necessarily bad. The same applies for the aggressive player. If the tight player and the cunning player call your bet it means that perhaps your cards are not so strong as you may have thought.

When playing poker, you should play total Poker. Play with the people, not with their cards. Fool the people all the time, talk to them in order to try to read their character, study their face language, and their body language, take notes of their bets and their history.